Archive for June, 2005

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Posted on June 29th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

I grew up in Minnesota and saw one tornado in the 17 years that I lived there. It was actually my first chase on July 18th, 1986. I was working at a camera store and our NOAA weather radio said it was about 8 miles from our location. A coworker and I decided to give chase. The tornado was very small but lasted over 30 minutes and was captured by the KARE helicopter and broadcast live (they were returning from shooting a story and an astute pilot simply turned on the camera and chased). I look back on this somewhat reminiscently as Minnesota has been fairly active of late and could really be under the gun this afternoon.

It seems so strange that Minnesota has had preferable tornadogenesis characteristics than Oklahoma this year.

1986 was also the year Kodak lost the patent suit to Polaroid and stopped making instant cameras (yeah I remember those lively conversations around the camera store). Kind of like light bars on chase vehicles.

My first chase was approximately 16 miles and netted about 15 minutes of tornado time. My 2005 season has been thousands of miles and 0 minutes of tornado time. What a crummy season.

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Posted on June 21st, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

I enjoy prognosticating as much as the next chaser. Recently an individual posted on www.stormtrack.org asking what chasing will be in ten years. 2005 marks 20 years after my graduation from high school. Twenty years ago I though I knew everything when I was 18. It is kind of funny how the older yet get the smarter your parents are. I have lived in Tulsa, OK 13 years. I’m using these periods to better scope my prediction so bear with me.

I have scared myself and others have greatly scared me this season. There are a lot of people in pursuit of atmospheric fury™ that probably should not be. I won’t go into particulars, but I have seen a lot of stupidity.

I truly believe that we are on a collision course. A chaser will kill another chaser or even worse a civilian. This will likely not be a shooting or stabbing. It will happen on a rain slicked road and an unsafe driving decision that will end tragically. Someone will die, not by atmospheric fury ™, but because of a driving mistake. We call them accidents for a reason. Accidents can be prevented. I think we all need to examine our driving and probably back it down a notch.

This forecasted death will unleash a media firestorm and consummate legislative action. There will be a rush to judgment to identify the responsible from the thrill seekers. Those that enjoy this hobby should consider how they can prove that they are responsible. In some sick way I welcome this big brother era. It will reduce the congestion. I have, can ,and will, take, and pass; federal, state, and local licensure requirements.

In 2015, the Department of Public Safety will have authority over pursuit of atmospheric fury™. Clean up our act or it will happen. Prior to chasing, I was an active skydiver with a class A USPAA/FAA License. It too was a time consuming and expensive hobby. Skydiving has one additional feature. It is a self cleaning oven. About fifty people die each year because they were stupid. The FAA is fairly conservative in where they locate drop zones so as not to kill civilians. Until you have mastered the art of skydiving , a drop master is technically in charge of you. Upon successful completing a series of progressively harder obstacles you will be granted your license. You are then 100% responsible for you. As a chaser, you are 100% responsible for you. You are unlikely to kill someone else as a skydiver. You are somewhat likely to kill someone as a chaser.

As Phil Esterhaus adjourned the roll call each week on Hill Street Blues “And, hey – let’s be careful out there.”

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Posted on June 16th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

Should I try one more time?

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Posted on June 16th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

Chasing storms is hard. It was a really tough season and to have lost every single game is a really hard pill to swallow. I have over relied on quantitative products and should have used my qualitative gut instinct. There is a lot of art and science involved in detailed weather prediction. There needs to be a balance of left brain and right brain thinking. I have enjoyed chasing with some great people, and I have the best chase partner in the world. Tomorrow probably marks the last day of the Spring season. I will be back in the Fall.

I have tried to use this blog to educate, inform, and share a little bit of what it is like to chase. Ultimately you are responsible for you and it is not a Nerf world. I would never encourage someone to chase. It is a potentially dangerous, expensive hobby that tends to attract a bunch of weirdoes who are about as socially adept as Charles Manson and as in touch with societal norms as Michael Jackson. There are elders that pioneered this hobby and I would love buy them dinner and drinks. It will never happen, because they are so sick of what they have seen their passion become.

Blogging is forcing me to write and it feels good. I can’t believe that this gets 30-50 hit’s a day. Please feel free to post comments. Congrats to all who did well this year. I’m dusting off the books and polishing up the Magic-8 Ball. I have also been geo-caching a bunch of treasures on the plains.

Thanks for reading
-Bob

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Posted on June 16th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

I’m sitting here at 1:00 PM and deciding if I can possibly take another trip 412 to Enid, OK. Steve and I have been on this road so much the Jeep can almost drive itself. There are currently pretty impressive dew points out there. Here is a 1:00 PM view from the Oklahoma Mesonet. We will monitor and see how things mix out this afternoon. Tomorrow also has a possibility of severe weather. I am frantically trying to get all of the things that I need to get done at work.
Monster storms over a Buffalo, OK. Our friend Charles Allison has probably bagged six tornadoes. We did a quick chase to Coweta (28 Miles) and then the promissing cell crashed. Ready for another MCS. I can’t express with mere words how much I HATE Mesoscale Convective Systems. They are the carp of storms. They are not interesting, and you hate bending over to even get them off your hook.

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Posted on June 16th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

Things have been pretty hectic and I have not had a chance to post much. Steve Miller and I played a 225 mile chase into Springdale Arkansas on Monday 6-13-05. Nice discrete super cell went up and then the storm decided to split. We disengaged and got on 412. We did have a another wall cloud try to produce a small spin up.

This road option did give us a chance to do something I have wanted to do for a long time. We stopped and took a few photographs of the NWS WSR-88 Doppler radar site in Inola. (I will enhance this account with photos this weekend).

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Posted on June 12th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

I feel like an aging hurler (baseball pitcher) at the end of a tough season. The convection last night cooperated and left SW Oklahoma unmolested. If the cap will hold today until about 2:00PM things could get interesting. Steve, Andrea and are on our way to Altus, OK / Childress, TX. Our ETA (Earned Tornado Average) is currently 0 (yeah I know ERA is an individual stat). The end of the season is near and we need a good game today.

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Posted on June 11th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

We are carefully monitoring a potentailly active day for 06-12-05. A powerful upper level system will make its way across Oklahoma and Kansas tomorrow. If you are a resident of the plains, you are quite aware that we have had large storm complexes move across on a nightly basis. The affect of these is to scour out a lot of moisture (rain). If they do so again tonight, tomorrow will be another bust and Steve Miller and I will not be chasing. You can see that the SPC is thinking this will probably happen because of the slight risk, but if air does not get worked over it will be a dangerous day. As of 6:30 PM the Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS’s) were forming. Here is a regional radar form weathertap.

The Norman and Tulsa National Weather Service Forecast Offices continue to amaze me with their ability to create tools that communicate what is going on. Here is TSA’s and OUN’s take on the situation.

I could not resist and decided to purchase an additional hand held forecasting tool. Given the uncertainties around Sunday it should prove helpful.

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Posted on June 10th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

On the way back to Tulsa on the Turner Turnpike. Another busted day. Played around in the Texas panhandle all day. When we saw the early convection between Amarillo snd Lubbock, we pretty much knew the day was going to be nonoptimal. One nice cell was briefly discrete and had potential 8 miles South of Groom, TX. It has been an interesting year. Steve Miller and I will likely be out again Sunday.

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Posted on June 9th, 2005 by Bob Hall in Uncategorized

Left Tulsa after work and am sitting in Woodward, OK at 9:15PM. A few storms are going up, but we really just wanted to get west 3 hours to make the chase a little easier tomorrow. We are at the Day’s Inn and they have pretty good wireless and very nice staff. The room key even worked on the first try. We get a instant message that our sister station KOCO is doing a live shot. As we wait for models to render, and there not being much going on in Woodward we decide to swing by. There are a couple of young ladies that are interested in chasing. Anyone that wants to be a groupie for gobob should contact me. We stay up until 1:30 forecasting. You can see the analysis at Steve Miller’s web site. www.hamwx.com.